ISQM Archive 2014-2015

Quantifying Complexity

September 10, 2014: Scott Page, Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics, University of Michigan

How do Climate Models Compare with Reality Over the Tropics from 1958-2012? HAC-Robust Trend Comparisons Among Climate Series with Possible Intercept Shifts

September 24, 2014: Timothy J. Vogelsang, Economics, Michigan State University

Why Does the American National Election Study Overestimate Voter Turnout?

October 8, 2014: Simon Jackman, Political Science, Stanford University

Estimating the Impacts of Program Benefits: Using Instrumental Variables with Underreported and Imputed Data

October 22, 2014: Mel Stephens, Economics, University of Michigan

Using Experiments to Estimate Geographic Variation in Racially Polarized Voting

November 5, 2014: Kevin M. Quinn, School of Law, University of California at Berkeley

Mitigating the Usual Limitations of the basic Regression-Discontinuity Design: Theory and Three Empirical Demonstrations from Design Experiment

November 19, 2014: Thomas D. Cook, Sociology, Psychology, and Education and Social Policy, Northwestern University

Statisticians (Social Science) and Data Scientists (Machine Learners): Let’s Talk

December 3, 2014: Neal Beck, Department of Politics, New York University

Essential Ideas of Causal Inference in Experiments and in Observational Studies

February 11, 2015: Don Rubin, Statistics, Harvard University

Measuring Political Knowledge in the Mass Public: Calibrating a Useful Instrument

February 25, 2015: William G. Jacoby, Political Science, Michigan State University

New Developments in Mediation Analysis

March 11, 2015: Tyler J. VanderWeele, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health

Assessing and enhancing the generalizability of randomized trials to target populations

March 25, 2015: Elizabeth A. Stuart, Mental Health and Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Optimal Multilevel Matching in Clustered Observational Studies: A Case Study of the School Voucher System in Chile

April 8, 2015: Luke Keele, Political Science, Penn State

Strong Control of the Family-wise Error Rate in Observational Studies

April 22, 2015: Dylan Small, Statistics, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

An empirical model of network formation: detecting homophily when agents are heterogeneous

May 6, 2015: Bryan S. Graham, Economics, University of California at Berkeley