Michael Traugott

Research Professor, Center for Political Studies
Professor, Communication Studies
Adjunct Professor, Political Science

Selected Publications

See CV for more complete publications list.

Books

Presidential Polls and the News Media, with Paul J. Lavrakas and Peter V. Miller (Westview Press: Boulder, CO, 1995).

The Voter's Guide to Election Polls, with Paul J. Lavrakas (Chatham House Press: Chatham NJ, 1996; Second edition, 2000; Third edition, 2004 release - Rowman & Littlefield: Boulder CO). Republished in Spanish as Encuestas: Guia Para Electores (Siglio XXI: Mexico City, 1997).

Election Polls, The News Media & Democracy, with Paul J. Lavrakas (Chatham House/Seven Bridges Press: Chatham NJ, 2000).

Journal Articles

"Reducing Vote Overreporting in Surveys: A Source Monitoring Approach," with Robert F. Belli, Katherine McGonagle, and Margaret Young. Public Opinion Quarterly, Spring 1999, Volume 63, Number 1, pp. 90-108.

"Who Votes by Mail?," with Adam Berinsky and Nancy Burns, Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 2001, Volume 65, Number 2, pp. 178-197.

"Web Survey Design and Administration," with Mick Couper and Mark Lamias, Public Opinion Quarterly, Summer 2001, Volume 65, Number 2, pp. 230-253.

"What Leads to Voting Overreports? Contrasts of Overreporters to Validated Voters and Admitted Nonvoters in the American National Election Studies," with Robert F. Belli and Matthew N. Beckmann. Journal of Official Statistics, Volume 17, no. 4 (December 2001), pp. 479-498.

"Group Cues and Ideological Constraint: A Replication of Political Advertising Effects Studies in the Lab and in the Field," with Nicholas A. Valentino and Vincent L. Hutchings, Political Communication, Volume 19, No. 2 (March 2002), pp. 29-48.

"How Americans Responded: A Study of Public Reactions to 9/11/01," with Ted Brader, Deborah Coral, et al. PS, Political Science, v. 35, no. 3 (September 2002) pp. 511-16.

"The Impact of Voting by Mail on Voter Behavior," with Michael J. Hanmer. 2004. American Politics Research, vol. 3 (September).

"A Review and a Proposal for New Statistics to Evaluate Poll Accuracy," with Elizabeth A. Martin and Courtney Kennedy. 2005. Public Opinion Quarterly. Volume 69, Number 3, pp. 342-369.

"The Accuracy of the National Preelection Polls in the 2004 Presidential Election." 2005. Public Opinion Quarterly. Volume 65, Number 5 (Special Issue), pp. 642-654.

Book Chapters

"Why Electoral Reform Has Failed: If You Build It, Will They Come?" 2004. Chapter 11 in Ann N. Crigler, Marion . Just, and Edward J. McCaffery. Rethinking the Vote: The Politics and Prospects of American Election Reform>. Oxford University Press.

"The Nature of Belief in a Mass Public." 2003. Chapter 8 in Michael MacKuen and George Rabinowitz (eds.), Electoral Democracy. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

"The Press, the Public, and the Search for Explanations," with Ted Brader. 2003. Chapter 10 in Pippa Norris, Montague Kern, and Marion Just (editors) Framing Terrorism. New York: Routledge.

"Do Polls Give the Public a Voice in Democracy?" 2004. Chapter 5 in Michael A. Genvoese and Matthew J. Streb (Editors) Polls and Politics: The Dilemmas of Democracy. Albany: State University of New York Press.

Reports

"Interim Report on Alleged Irregularities in the United States Presidential Election of 2 November 2004" (PDF) 2004. With Henry E. Brady, Guy-Uriel Charles, Ben Highton, Martha Kropf, and Walter R. Mebane, Jr. New York: Social Science Research Council.

"Challenges Facing the American Electoral System: Research Priorities for the Social Sciences." (PDF) 2005. With Michael R. Alvarez et al., New York: Social Science Research Council.

"A Review of Recent Controversies Concerning the 2004 Presidential Election Exit Polls," (PDF) With Benjamin Highton and Henry E. Brady. 2005. New York: Social Science Research Council.